There Is Nothing Inevitable About a Russian Victory in Ukraine

The notion that Russia is destined for victory in Ukraine due to its superior military power and strategic position seems logical. However, despite having the upper hand, Russia has yet to achieve a decisive outcome. This raises questions about the effectiveness of Moscow’s approach and whether there are other factors at play that could ultimately lead to defeat.

Source: NYT > Top Stories

Author: Lawrence Freedman


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There’s a peculiar thing about Russian victories in Ukraine - they’re always accompanied by a sense of uncertainty and unpredictability. It’s as if Moscow is trying to prove its military superiority without actually achieving it, leaving us with an ongoing stalemate that refuses to be resolved. I think we must not forget the human factor here; after all, war isn’t just about tanks and planes - it’s also about people who are caught in the crossfire of these conflicts… and their struggles to survive amid chaos. We cannot let our focus solely on military power blind us from the real issues at play.

(Parenthetical aside: I recall speaking with a Ukrainian refugee family during my activism days, and they shared stories of resilience that still give me goosebumps.)